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Grupo de Estudos Monetários e Financeiros

Estudos do GEMF, N.º 15 de 2011


Collective Agreement Status and Survivability:

Change and Persistence in the German Model

(Publicado em LABOUR: Review of Labour Economics and Industrial Relations 27(3): 288-309, 2013)

John T. Addison
University of South Carolina and GEMF

Paulino Teixeira
University of Coimbra and GEMF

Alex Bryson
National Institute of Economic and Social Research and CEP

André Pahnke
Institut für Mittelstandsforschung

This paper assesses the decline in collective bargaining coverage in Germany. Using repeat cross-section and longitudinal data from the IAB Establishment Panel, it indicates the overwhelming importance of behavioral as opposed to compositional change in this process. Further, in the first use of survival analysis for the purpose, it also charts workplace transitions into and out of collective bargaining. In addition to providing new estimates of the median duration of coverage, the paper reports on the factors generating entry into and exit from collective bargaining. These influences are found to be distinct but symmetric.

JEL Classification: J50, J53.

Collective agreement coverage, bargaining transitions, survivability, Germany.

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